NBA Finals: New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs — Game 3 preview, predictions, & betting odds 

The NBA Finals shifts to the world’s most famous basketball stage as Madison Square Garden hosts Game 3 for the first time in nearly three decades, with the New York Knicks aiming to move one step closer to a championship while the San Antonio Spurs fight to stay alive in the series.


The Knicks hold a commanding 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven Finals, riding a 13-game winning streak and coming off a narrow 105-104 victory in Game 2. New York survived a furious Spurs comeback that saw San Antonio erase a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit before Victor Wembanyama’s potential game-winning jumper rimmed out at the buzzer.


That resilience has defined the Knicks throughout the playoffs, including their stunning 22-point fourth-quarter comeback against the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Head coach Mike Brown credited his team’s composure under pressure.


“It’s an amazing feeling as a coach to know how mentally tough your team is, no matter what the situation is in front of them,” Knicks head coach Mike Brown said.


For San Antonio, the challenge is steep. The Spurs now find themselves in a must-win situation after dropping the first two games at home, becoming only the third team in NBA Finals history to do so. Despite strong efforts, their offense has struggled, with just 199 total points through two games—their lowest two-game output of the playoffs.


Wembanyama continues to lead the Spurs’ attack, averaging 27.5 points in the Finals, but his efficiency has dipped under heavy defensive attention, shooting just 40.5% on 21 attempts per game. The 7-foot-4 star acknowledged the team’s missed opportunities.


“We need to capitalize — actually use all the efforts we (used). It felt like we did a lot, we did a lot of things wrong. But we also were relentless and kept pushing, but kind of wasted that effort,” Wembanyama said.


Match: San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks

Event: NBA Finals – Game 3

Date & Time: Tuesday, 8:30 AM (PHT)

Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY


Head-to-Head Context

  • Knicks lead series 2-0
  • Knicks on a 13-game winning streak
  • Spurs trailing after back-to-back close losses, including a 105-104 Game 2 defeat
  • Spurs have struggled offensively, averaging just 99.5 points across the first two games

Key Storylines


Knicks’ Momentum vs Spurs’ Survival Mode


New York enters Game 3 with confidence at an all-time high, while San Antonio faces elimination pressure despite competitive performances.


Wembanyama Under Pressure


The Knicks’ defense has limited the Spurs’ offensive rhythm, forcing Wembanyama into higher shot volume but lower efficiency.


Madison Square Garden Factor


With the Finals returning to MSG for the first time in decades, the Knicks will look to feed off a roaring home crowd.


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Predictions & Betting Odds


New York Knicks enter as the slight favorite, but San Antonio Spurs remains a strong contender, with expectations pointing to a closely fought and highly competitive Game 3. 


Moneyline Odds:


The Knicks are listed at 1.73, while the San Antonio Spurs are at 2.03 (OKBET), wherein the odds reflect New York’s strong momentum, home-court advantage at Madison Square Garden, and its ability to close out tight games throughout the playoffs. However, the relatively narrow gap between the two sides suggests bookmakers still view the Spurs as a legitimate threat despite their series deficit.


Probability Estimates


Based on the latest projections, the San Antonio Spurs hold a 61% chance of winning Game 3, while the New York Knicks are given a 39% probability, suggesting expectations of a competitive matchup despite New York carrying the momentum into Madison Square Garden. 


Predictions & Outlook


The Knicks enter Game 3 as slight favorites due to momentum, home-court advantage, and their ability to close out tight games late. However, the Spurs’ competitiveness in the first two games suggests they are not far off from shifting the series momentum.


San Antonio’s best chance lies in improving offensive efficiency and easing pressure on Wembanyama, who remains their focal point but has faced constant defensive traps.

New York, meanwhile, will look to extend its winning streak and move within one win of the NBA title.


What’s at Stake


Game 3 could be a defining moment in the NBA Finals, with the New York Knicks looking to strengthen their grip on the series at home, while the San Antonio Spurs aim to get back into the championship race and prevent the Finals from slipping further away.


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